PAXAFE | Blog

Beyond CAPA: Eliminate Excursion Post-Mortems

Written by Ivan Castro | Jul 19, 2024 6:03:51 PM

Many companies rely on the concept of CAPA (Corrective Action & Preventive Action). CAPA is a structured approach that involves identifying the root causes of problems, implementing solutions to fix them, and taking preventive measures to stop them from happening again.

While CAPA is undoubtedly a valuable tool, it has an inherent limitation: it’s reactive. Essentially, CAPA kicks in after the horse has bolted, focusing on fixing damage already done. This can leave businesses constantly scrambling to catch up, leading to lost revenue, client dissatisfaction, and resource strain.

But what if you could get ahead of the disruptions? This is where proactive visibility and predictive solutions enter the picture. By harnessing the power of advanced analytics, real-time data, and AI-driven models, these tools shift the focus from reacting to problems to anticipating and preventing them. This proactive approach can potentially revolutionize supply chains, minimizing disruptions, reducing costs, and improving overall efficiency.

The Power of Proactive Visibility

Harnessing the Power of AI-Driven Predictive Models

  • Traditional analysis relies on historical data, leaving blind spots for future problems. AI-driven models look far beyond this.
  • These models consume your company’s data and external data sources like weather patterns, geopolitical events, port congestion reports, etc. This broadens their ability to predict disruptions.
  • Example: An AI model could flag that a shipment is not only headed for a port bracing for a strike but also that your alternative supplier is located in a region with a rising number of COVID cases — prompting you to consider a third option.

The Live Shipment Risk Score: Your Real-Time Alert System

  • This isn’t just about tracking a shipment’s location. It merges live data feeds with predictive analytics.
  • Example: The score might suddenly rise not because the truck stopped but because the temperature in the container is creeping up. The route now leads it through an area with a high heat index warning, and your AI model knows this product becomes unstable above a certain temperature threshold.
  • This empowers you to act while there’s still time (contacting the driver, arranging for expedited transport), not just when the spoiled product arrives.

The Lane Risk Score: Surgical Problem-Solving

  • Think of your shipping “lanes” as your repeated routes and routines. The Lane Risk Score breaks them down for analysis.
  • It pinpoints if problems are consistently coming from factors like
  1. Delays at a specific port or customs checkpoint
  2. Packaging failures on longer transit routes or with certain carriers
  3. External issues like severe weather that tend to disrupt a particular lane
  • With this focused knowledge, you don’t just react to each broken shipment. You change the lane itself — negotiating better customs processes, using different packaging, or finding a more reliable route.

Building a More Resilient Supply Chain

Diversifying Suppliers: Beyond Backup Plans

  • It’s not just about having a backup in case your primary supplier fails. True diversification brings several benefits:
  • Regional differences: Suppliers in various locations are less likely to all be hit by the same natural disaster, labor disruption, or geopolitical crisis.
  • Supplier specialization: Different suppliers might be better for small-batch vs. bulk orders or have different strengths in packaging, increasing your choices depending on the shipment needs.
  • Foster competition: This can help improve pricing and drive innovation as suppliers strive to keep your business.

Flexible Logistics Solutions: Adapting with the Unexpected

  • Pre-negotiated contingency plans: Agreements for alternate carriers, warehousing space, or expedited shipping options save precious time in a crisis.
  • Multi-modal mindset: Can your shipments realistically move by truck, rail, air, or sea? While not ideal for everything, knowing your options provides backup channels.
  • Nearshoring or Onshoring: While not always feasible, selectively bringing supply chain elements closer to home can reduce the risk of overseas disruptions.

Proactive Risk Assessment Tools: Seeing the Weak Links BEFORE They Break

  • Traditional assessments tend to be static. Proactive tools must do more:
  • Stress testing your plan: These tools can simulate scenarios like “What if port X shuts down for a month?” and model the ripple effects on your supply chain. This highlights where redundancies are needed.
  • Constant analysis of external data: Proactive tools don’t just use your company’s information. They monitor global news and real-time data on events and factor these into their assessments to keep you ahead of the curve.
  • Vulnerability scoring: This helps you see which suppliers or routes are riskier overall and which shipments are most vulnerable at any given moment based on the unique conditions they’ll encounter.

Automation and The Vital Human Factor

Trusting the tech: Building confidence in AI-driven Recommendations

  • Transparency is key: The tools shouldn’t be a “black box”. Explanations of how the AI models reach their conclusions are vital.
  • Start small, and prove the wins: Implement the tools in lower-risk areas first or run them parallel with existing methods. Success builds trust.
  • Highlight human benefits: Emphasize that these tools free up employees from tedious data crunching to focus on higher-level strategy and creative problem-solving.

The Need for Human Expertise: Where Insight & Instinct Combine

  • AI excels at pattern-finding, but humans understand nuance: A tool might suggest a radical lane change, but a seasoned expert knows of political factors not yet in the data that make it unwise.
  • The “last mile” problem: Even with perfect visibility, ultimately, it’s humans on the ground who may need to secure cargo, renegotiate with a dockworker, and make judgment calls about damaged goods. This is where training matters.
  • Humans are the adaptability engine: AI can adapt, but humans initiate those breakthroughs — seeing new uses for the tools or spotting when the models need retraining as circumstances radically change.

Aligning People and Processes: From Insight to Action

  • Who does what, and when? Alerts from visibility tools are meaningless if no one is responsible for reacting. Define clear roles and escalation paths.
  • Intervention strategies: This isn’t just about who to call in a crisis, but pre-thought-out playbooks — “If X type of risk spikes, we initiate plan A, B, or C” — which lessen panic in the moment.
  • Beyond fixing, towards improvement: Have a process to not just react to what the tools find but analyze the data regularly for broader improvement — identifying suppliers consistently delivering on time or routes to avoid permanently.

It’s tempting to think of this as technology versus humans. However, the most successful companies will frame it as a partnership, with each side playing to their strengths for a better outcome.

The CAPA Shift — Moving to Proactive Solutions

Redefining the Process: Proactive CAPA

  • Traditional CAPA kicks in after the problem has already happened. Proactive CAPA merges it with visibility tools for a new cycle:
  1. Visibility Tools → Potential Problems Flagged → Proactive CAPA kicks in
  2. This means investigating root causes before they lead to failures, adjusting suppliers, routes, procedures, etc., to avoid the issue entirely.
  • It requires a mindset shift: Companies that use CAPA purely as a post-mortem must embrace analyzing the “close calls” that visibility tools highlight. That’s the prevention opportunity.

Measuring Outcomes: Proving the Value of Prevention

  • It’s easy to measure the cost of a failed shipment. Measuring what didn’t happen is trickier but vital:
  • Track “near misses” turned into successes: How many times did the tools flag a risk you proactively mitigated? That’s a win, even if the original problem had never been catastrophic.
  • Compared to historical data, the chart reduced delays, fewer damaged shipments, etc., over time after implementing proactive tools.
  • Beyond cost savings: Factor in less customer frustration, fewer emergency escalations eating up employee time, and improved brand reputation for reliability.

Confidence in Change: Data-Driven Decision Making

  • Gut instinct has its place, but leaders with hard data are more empowered to make bold moves.
  • Visibility tools showing consistent problems with a supplier finally justify the time and cost to find a replacement, not just a quick fix.
  • Precise measurement of change outcomes fuels further improvement: If route A was switched to route B, and results vastly improved, that reinforces the decision and paves the way to do this elsewhere.
  • Visibility makes the case for the C-suite: It’s easier to secure further investment in proactive solutions when you have hard numbers proving their ROI.